Ji'nan and the big city? Experts: the pressure to go to stock is still not small
reporter Meng Min
18 days, the National Bureau of Statistics announced the price changes of housing sales in 70 large and medium cities in October. The data show that the price of newly built commodity housing in four cities on the north and the north of Guangzhou has been significantly higher than that of the same year. The price of newly built commodity housing in many second tier cities, including Ji'nan, is also rising.
this reporter Meng Min Zhao Bo Intern Yang Shengnan
the opening of a real estate, many buyers come to buy a house. Newspaper reporter Meng Min
Ji'nan: Ji'nan: high and high-end houses are sold more, house prices have risen
data show that in October, Ji'nan new commodity housing prices rose by 0.4%, the largest increase for this year, which is the three month rise in Ji'nan house prices since August. At the same time, Ji'nan new residential housing decline to 0.4 percentage points, since April this year, Ji'nan housing price decline in continuous reduction, the average narrowing range of 0.93 percentage points, if Ji'nan house prices continue to shrink according to this speed, Ji'nan prices in November will be expected to achieve higher prices.
reporter noticed that a real estate near the intersection of the ten road and the West Road in Ji'nan opened in May. The average price was 15000 yuan after the opening period. Now there are only a dozen special rooms left. The apartment is only 90 square meters and 170 square meters, and the house of 130 square meters and 140 square meters has been cleared.
"Ji'nan new commodity housing, in terms of the absolute quantity, the stock is under six months, the supply of the house is reduced, the demand is stable, and the price will rise slightly. From a structural point of view, the sales volume of middle and high-end housing is rising, and the price of high and medium end housing is high, which has also led to the rise of house prices. Zhu Jiang, general manager of Shandong world alliance high tech Zone, said.
Qingdao: not sold too much, house prices fell for two months
in contrast, since August, Qingdao housing prices have been on the low side. According to the National Bureau of statistics, the price of new housing in Qingdao decreased by 0.1% in October, down 4.1% from the same period last year. In September, the average price of new residential buildings in Qingdao fell by 0.1%, and the price of new housing in Qingdao was flat in August. The latest rise in housing prices in Qingdao dates back to July, when housing prices rose 0.2% in Qingdao.
since Qingdao completely relieved the purchase policy last year, Qingdao has also launched a series of measures, such as the reduction of interest rates, the five change of the two business tax, the downgrade of the two suite down payment, and a series of measures to reduce the proportion of the first provident fund loan. Buyers will increase their willingness to buy. Meanwhile, developers are returning funds through low-cost ways.
industry analysts believe that, under the impact of a series of loose policies this year, the property market continues to warm up, the good policy of the real estate market is increasing, but the current Qingdao housing stock has been in high position, the developer's inventory pressure is relatively large, and the developers compete for the stock with low price promotion. It is in accordance with the common sense.
expert: the second line city house price is difficult to have a big rebound
Shandong Zhongyuan Real Estate Investment Advisor director BF analysis said, the North Guangzhou Shenzhen and other front-line cities demand is more exuberant, from the age structure of foreign population, the demand for real estate is no problem. The rise in real estate prices in Shenzhen should be based on the supply and demand of the market. The possibility of a substantial increase in foreign population in this period should be related to the decrease in supply in this period.
"the key to the second line cities such as Ji'nan is still in stock, the price will be adjusted, but there will be no big rebound. Now the supply is at a peak, and the supply and volume are at a high level." In the four cities of Shandong, such as Ji'nan and Qingdao, the main task at the end of the year and next year is still to digest the existing stock, according to his analysis.
also some experts said that Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen housing price increase narrowed, the number of rising cities reduced, because a series of loose regulation policy has been introduced, prompting a transient rise in the property market, the real estate market in the end of the year is once again a situation of weakness.
the net outflow of population is not optimistic about the three line city
according to the data of the National Statistics Bureau, compared with the same month of last year, there were 54 cities in the 70 cities in October, and 16 in the rising cities, the highest rise was 40.5%, and the lowest was 6.5%. In second hand housing, there were 45 cities with lower prices, 24 rising cities and 1 flat cities, with a maximum increase of 36.8% and a minimum of 9.5%.
according to Liu Jianwei, Senior Statistician of the city division of the National Bureau of statistics, said that the average increase in prices of newly built and secondhand housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities has been increased by 1.5 and 1.4 percentage points respectively. The analysis data can be found that the prices of newly built and secondhand residential houses in the first tier cities are all rising and increasing relatively larger than last month's 2.4 and 1.1 percentage points, respectively, and the price of newly built residential houses in second line cities fell 1.9%, the decline was 0.9 points compared to last month, and the second-hand housing price was from September to September. The decline was 0.9% to the same level; the price of new residential and second-hand housing in three line cities fell, but the decline was 0.7 and 1 percentage points compared with last month.
"the difference in the price of the house price shows the difference of urbanization regionalization". Shandong Zhongyuan Real estate investment adviser, Mr Fu Fu Li analysis, said he did not optimistic about the future of the three line city. Because the third line city is the city of net outflow of population, the main task is to withdraw the market after inventory, the peak period and the high development value of the real estate industry have already passed, the future housing population will change greatly, and the real estate market faces the huge adjustment of the product structure.