Two degrees "drop" Ji'nan property buyers more entangled worry that prices will rise again
http://sd.sdnews.com.cn/2012/5/17/1204272.html
source: Volkswagen Daily reporter Liu Jiangbo
key hint
May 12th, the central bank announced that since May 18, 2012, the deposit reserve ratio of deposit financial institutions was reduced by 0.5 percentage points, which was the second time since 2012. Reduce the deposit reserve ratio. Once the news came out, the sensitive nerves in the real estate market were again struck. In the current competition for the real estate market, the adjustment of the deposit reserve ratio affects the geometry and how the house price will go in the future? In the current market environment, whether the window period of the purchase is open for the newly needed people?
the most critical is the regulation of the policy
12 nightly, a customized text message is ready to buy in the provincial capital of the small heart and a trace of waves, he hastened to search for information on the Internet, to decide whether they should continue to "entanglements". "
" after the first time after the first deposit reserve ratio adjustment, there were some worries, mainly worried about whether the house price would rise again, so this period was also kept in the house, but it did not happen. " Xiao Zhang said, "this adjustment will not have much to do with housing prices, but it will still be unrealistic."
obviously, there is not a small number of buyers, such as Zhang, who are worried about it, and the "reduction" and the earlier housing market warming are also testing their patience. In their view, lowering the deposit reserve ratio has become a positive sign of rising housing prices. "Lowering the deposit reserve rate has raised expectations for housing prices," one interviewee said.
the "reserve requirement ratio" has played a certain moderating role in the real estate market, but it has not played a substantial role. Provincial real estate commentator in Qing said, "the problem now is the problem that customers can not buy, not the problem of not lending. The development of other industries also needs capital, not just the real estate industry. "
related experts said that, although the savings reserve ratio is good for the real estate industry, the size of real estate loans is still limited. Obviously, the most important factor affecting real estate is regulation and control policy. In the absence of change in the state's regulation and control policy, funds will not enter the real estate industry on a large scale, and the impact of the other real economy is more than the real estate industry.
second rounds of test water?
reporter learned that, under the regulation policy of the property market, from last year, the competition for the newly needed people has become the main coping strategy of real estate developers. However, after several rounds of promotion, especially after the beginning of the year, the volume of the property market showed a slight spring. However, the good scenery did not last long. Entering the April, the volume of property market stopped rising, and property market growth did not show continuity.
in the current real estate market environment, "tangled" is obviously not just buyers. Buyers are worried about "buying now is not appropriate", and the real estate business is entangled in how to conduct a full game with buyers and peers. Relevant industry insiders said that under the premise that a part of the rigid demand has entered the market, the sale of the property market has entered the second round of trial stage.
Shandong World Federation of Yi Gao Property Consultancy Co., Ltd. (Ji'nan branch) related analysts told reporters that the continued decline in the transaction price is the key factor in the rise of the market volume after the Spring Festival, the transaction structure is still mainly low price and small apartment, the main is the people, and this situation will be For a period of time, now the price change volume has entered the stage of deep development.
"although the stock stock in Ji'nan is at a relatively high level, the rate of digestion is accelerating." The analyst said, "May and June is a traditional peak selling season, and developers are sure to use market opportunities to increase the supply of the market, but the trend of further reduction has not been obvious since the big price reduction near the end of last year and this year's Spring Festival, and the game will continue further."
how the future property market will go to
Ji'nan as an example. Since 2012, there have been some "symbolic" changes in the Ji'nan property market. Among them, according to the March data issued by the National Bureau of statistics, Ji'nan new housing prices in March declined by 0.2%, down 0.5% from the same year, this is the first round of regulation, Ji'nan first appeared a year-on-year decline. However, in the context of "price change" in the context of the recent Ji'nan individual property prices have also appeared, although the price increases accompanied by a reduction in sales, but this may be seen as another kind of test of the market. "
" for the current real estate market, or with rigid demand led, should be stable development, in the existing price system, the downside space will not be very big. " Shandong Zhongyuan Real estate general manager Wang Xin made his own judgment, "individual developers after a period of sales promotion, has reached the expected sales performance, a few months after the Spring Festival is much better than last year, in this case, the possibility of price reduction is not much, and even raise prices."
industry people said, after the previous round of sale promotion, the provincial capital has been basically in or close to the "bottom price" state, and some real estate has been sold in the early period, the possibility of a big drop has been very low, so the next step will be a stage promotion, such as Various preferential activities will be carried out, but the margin will not be very large.
in such a market background, how should the property market move towards?
related experts say that in the current market environment, the state's regulatory policy has not changed, house prices have not yet returned to a reasonable range, the ratio of house prices to income is still higher, and the demand for house purchase is released after a short period of release, It can not change the long-term development track of the property market. However, under the condition of constant development of price volume, people who have rigid demand for housing will show a gradual market entry.