In 2017, 100 thousand babies will be added to Ji'nan, and the population growth will be zero before 2030.
in November 5th, reporters prepared two children from the Ji'nan Municipal Health Planning Commission. The forum was informed that after the implementation of the comprehensive two child policy, the peak year will be postponed to 2017, and the annual population may reach more than 100 thousand. At the same time, according to the forecast and evaluation of the Municipal Health Planning Committee, from a long period of time, the adjustment of the fertility policy will not change the trend of Ji'nan's population development. Before 2030, the population of our city is likely to usher in zero growth.
if you choose to have a baby in 2017, it will be the most populated year in the city, after the birth of the maximum 100 thousand
two - child policy in 2017.
in the first half of 2015, the Ji'nan Municipal Health Planning Commission conducted a survey on the impact of the overall two child policy on Ji'nan. The basic situation is that before the implementation of a separate two child policy, about 30% families in Ji'nan can have two children to carry out a separate two child policy, and about 70% of the family can have two children. After the implementation of the two child policy, it means that the remaining 30% families can also have two children.
from 2000 to 2013, the number of people born in Ji'nan was 60 thousand in accordance with census register statistics, and 61 thousand in 2013. In 2014, 85 thousand people were born in Ji'nan, an increase of 40% in Ji'nan, due to the overlay of various factors such as the cancellation of the birth interval, the implementation of a separate two child policy and the preference for a personal preference. According to the estimated two child policy, 2016 is the peak year of the city. The peak year will be postponed to 2017 after the birth of the two child policy is close to 90 thousand. The population may be over 100 thousand.
the declining population of women of childbearing age in the large trend of childbearing age will be analyzed by the Municipal Health Planning Commission of
. In 2014, the women of childbearing age in the period of high fertility in the city began to decrease year by year. In 2015, the married women of childbearing age from 25 to 35 years of age in the city were 540 thousand, and in 2020 it would fall to 440 thousand, and the decline was close to 20%. This downward trend will continue until the current child is born into the boom period. Therefore, in a long period of time, the adjustment of fertility policy will not change the trend of population development in our city. Before 2030, the household registration population in our city will usher in zero growth.
Jia Tanghong, director of the Municipal Health Planning Commission, said that after a total of two children, high risk women will increase, and medical institutions need to be prepared from the stockpile of obstetrical personnel to the hardware. At present, there are 55 medical and health care institutions in Ji'nan with aptitude for midwifery technical service. The rate of obstetric bed turnover in maternal and child health care hospital is 5.5 days, and the city can load 163122 parturients in hospital in one year. "At present, Ji'nan's obstetric medical resources can cope with two children in all." The next step is to make rational allocation of maternity and medical resources, such as setting up obstetrics in some township hospitals. Ji'nan will also introduce social capital to run obstetric hospitals to meet the needs of people at different levels.
the Ji'nan district and county population birth forecast
the Ji'nan Municipal Health Planning Commission's two - child preparatory work symposium, the city and county security bureaus have made a preliminary estimate of the impact of the total two children.
calendar
26000 people in the region are eligible for two children.
City
there will be more than 8000 people in the region, and the number of births in 2016 and 2017 will be around 9000. Before
Huaiyin
, 4000 children were released every year and two children were released, and 5000 children were born in 2014. It is predicted that 6000 children will be born in the whole region after two children have been released. The
flyover
area is about 6200 people a year, and about 8200 people are expected to be born in 2016.
Calendar City
in 2014, 14 thousand people were born, 6000 were expected to be born in 2015, 16 thousand were born in 2016, and 18 thousand were born in 2017.
Zhangqiu
is expected to reach 12000 in 2016 and 15000 in 2017.
Pingyin
4800 people were born in 2014. The estimated number of babies born this year is less than 3000. It is estimated that 5000 people will be born in 2016 and 5500 in 2017.
Jiyang
about 7700 people were born this year, with an estimated annual increase of about 2500.
Shanghe
is expected to generate more than 2300 people per year and the number of births will reach 7000.
Changqing
the original population was about 6000 per year. It is estimated that 7000 children will be born every year after two children, and about 9000 people are expected to be born every year from 2016 to 2017.
high
as of the end of September this year, more than 1500 people were born, of whom two had more than 800 children. After the release of a total of two children, it has little impact on the population as a whole.