Prediction and analysis of vegetable market in mid autumn and National Day holidays in Ji'nan, Shandong
is not optimistic in terms of price. The overall situation of our market will be affected to varying degrees from the disaster situation in all parts of the country and the joint situation in the surrounding areas of Shandong. As far as our Shandong region is concerned, the impact of this year's rainwater has been unpredictable in terms of the quantity of vegetables and the average price of vegetables.
although Shandong is a major province of grain and vegetable planting, the price of grain and vegetables will fluctuate greatly between 1 and February due to the overall impact of the national disaster. However, because of the large amount of vegetable growing in the suburb of Ji'nan, the fluctuation of the price of variety is affected, but will not be abrupt.
the situation around Ji'nan will play a decisive role in vegetable prices in Ji'nan. Such as the suburbs of Ji'nan and the suburbs of Changqing, Pingyin, Jiyang, Shanghe, Zhangqiu, Liaocheng, Dongping, Tai'an, and other areas of Ji'nan play a mutual restriction on the vegetable market. Because these areas are close to Ji'nan, and they are all vegetable producing areas, they all have indispensable support and price restraining effect on the supply of Ji'nan market.
the price of garlic and ginger this year is higher than in previous years, but there is still a certain distance from the highest historical price. The price of garlic is higher this year, mainly because the prices of garlic in the first two years are relatively low, and the cost of planting garlic growers will not come back, and the price of garlic in the last year and this year is several times the difference. This year, the local purchase price broke through 6 yuan per catty, 12 yuan per kilogram. After being transported to the wholesale vegetable market and other taxes, such as transportation and other taxes, the wholesale price was about 14 yuan per kilogram. With the international and domestic demand for more than the purchase this year, the export volume increased and the domestic market was in urgent need of the garlic price this year. It will continue to go up.
it is expected that the price of garlic next year will increase with the soaring price of this year, the enthusiasm of the growers and the increase of the planting area will fall slightly, but it also depends on the influence of the market and domestic and international demand.
this year, the price of ginger is not high compared with the highest historical period. But the main reason is that with the impact of international exports and the demand of the affected areas, it is gradually rising. But in the case of origin, the price will not exceed 14 yuan per kilogram, and the price at the highest historical period will be between 14 yuan and 16 yuan per kilogram.
in the overall vegetable price, due to the needs of different regions and the needs of the disaster areas, the price trend will rise slightly. To the influence of national day and Mid Autumn Festival, we should pay more attention to price, that is to say, it is not optimistic.
the main measures taken by our market during the festival will be security, fire protection, security, fire prevention and anti-theft, to ensure the normalization of business transactions in various localities. In terms of supply and demand, the market also interacts with local and suburban planting areas in a timely manner to increase the quantity and variety of local vegetables in the two sections. (such as in the western suburb of vegetable planting areas, as well as Changqing, Pingyin and Liaocheng, Tai'an, Jiyang, Shanghe, Zhangqiu and other places of transport households to carry out the corresponding supply planning. Contact each other by telephone at any time, and keep in touch with the transport and supply industry, so that the vegetables in the suburbs will be supplied in the largest way to ensure the supply of two vegetables. This is mainly for the Ministry of marketing to conduct external visits and business dialogues.
the promotion of the festival is mainly to increase the market volume of the market, to expand the transportation capacity of local households during the festival, and to diversify the variety of vegetable varieties during the two sections.
forecast analysis of the festival market:
in this year's situation, with the higher price of individual varieties, it will have the corresponding inhibition to other varieties. But looking at the current trend of vegetable prices, vegetable prices will be higher in the next two seasons.
it is expected that the price of vegetables during the two sections will not reach the highest point in Ji'nan, but the price will continue to go up at the present level.
that is to say, the price level this year will not be ignored.
it can be seen from the table that the volume of the market and the volume of turnover are lower than last year, influenced by the development of the West. Many villagers in the western part of Ji'nan are commandeer by the high Tiexi station. Many vegetable planting areas have been reduced. This year's rainwater weather is more frequent than in previous years. This year's situation is relatively downward trend compared with the same period last year.
contrast between mid autumn and National Day vegetables is unstable. (