Egg prices are so crazy, don't you feel a bit abnormal?
toutiao.com
the last week, the price of eggs is singing all the way, from the previous one Yuan era, into the three Yuan era, some places up to 3.4 kilograms. At that time, the farmers were happy and lost for more than half a year, and the good day finally came. Many farmers because the capital chain broke, did not survive this difficult period. Till now, farmers are trained to be tough.
however, is the price of eggs really hitting bottom? Is the spring of the farmers really coming? And listen to the small editor for your analysis.
1, the relationship between supply and demand has not changed.
the low price of eggs this year has much to do with market supply and demand. Because the trend of egg prices in the past few years is high, many other industries' capital has also entered the army of layer farming. Coupled with the iterative updating of aquaculture technology, the upgrading of aquaculture equipment has greatly increased production efficiency and greatly increased production capacity, resulting in serious excess capacity. Then the bird flu, market forced closure, environmental protection and other factors were added to make the price of eggs fall to the bottom.
at present, although the summer is coming, the production environment of laying hens has changed obviously, the heat stress is increasing, the egg production rate is decreasing, the pressure of egg supply is relieved, but the relationship between supply and demand has not changed.
2, the current round of rising is not a real rise, behind the speculation factors.
the sudden rise in this round, there is some kind of premeditation, long-term low price makes egg farmers miserable, laying hens industry alliance, farmers, feed enterprises and a series of upstream enterprises are hoping to see the price rise, which does not exclude the factors of human speculation. With the expectation of everyone, the price of eggs has opened up a pattern of rising, which makes people in this chain more or less happy.
when the price of egg rises, there must be a shock and rebound, after a period of shock and callback, it is possible to see the direction and potential energy. Therefore, when making decisions, when chicken and eggs are kept, we must carefully consider and do not blindly follow suit. It is the right way to raise a chicken in reason.