Shun Network - Ji'nan times
will be crumpled The type of steamed bread is well placed, prepared for two times of fermentation. Reporter Li Pengfei photo faced with the fall of grain cliffs, Ji'nan Food Bureau joint departments, for the first time in history, officially took the initiative to support the market. However, after the end of the market, prices fell again, which is still down 20%. At the same time, flour, steamed bread and other finished products remain unchanged.
[raw material] in the market, the price of wheat fell
Lao Li worked in Ji'nan's grain system for many years, talking about the price of wheat this year, not in the history. In mid June, Ji'nan harvested wheat and opened the scale. The price was about 1.2 yuan per kilograms, which was flat compared with the same period last year.
however, in August, the price of wheat in Ji'nan market has been stable below 1.2 yuan / Jin, and for a long time at 1.18 yuan / Jin. According to past experience, August should be the time when the purchase price rose, reaching 1.28 yuan / Jin last year. Although there is only a gap of 10 Fen, the price of grain has remained stable for a long time.
Ji'nan is not lonely, the decline in grain prices is national, especially in August, the direct end of the direct bank rotation, the market after the grain depot has been weakened from the inevitable. As a result, Henan, Hebei, Anhui and other places that produce large grain grain have been purchased at the protective price and carried on the market.
[government action] still fell, Tuo failed to reverse the situation
local market and failed to reverse the downward trend in the Shandong wheat acquisition market. Take Ji'nan as an example, Ji'nan Price Bureau monitoring showed that the price fell to 1.17 yuan / Jin in September 3rd, and fell to 1.16 yuan / Jin in September 10th until September 17th. Stop falling.
Ji'nan in September 17th has a cause for the fall, in September 11th, Tai'an, Dezhou, Liaocheng, Binzhou 4 cities started the city, in addition to the previous already started Linyi, Zaozhuang, Heze, Jining, Shandong at that time there were 8 city buyout. In this context, in September 23rd, the Ji'nan Municipal Grain Bureau combined with relevant departments to start the "2015 wheat minimum purchase price implementation plan", which lasted until September 30th. During the period of
the Ji'nan grain depot, the grain depot was on the line almost all the line, as the entrustment storage depot, with the national standard three and other wheat as the standard products in 2015, the minimum purchase price was 1.18 yuan / Jin. And just second days after starting the market, wheat prices in Ji'nan fell by a penny.
Ji'nan grain bureau requests open acquisition, ready to buy, and this time, Ji'nan is the first time that the food department has officially taken the initiative to support the market. However, these favorable policies have not only brought about a sharp rise but continued to decline. The price of wheat released by Ji'nan Price Bureau in October 1st was 1.14 yuan / Jin.
[processing plant said] the price fell, but the price of flour factory remained firm
the Ji'nan Price Bureau announced the price of wheat at 1.08 yuan / Jin on the 15 day of this month, and the lowest price of the Ji'nan Grain Bureau announced the lowest price of 1.025 yuan / Jin. In the same period last year, the average price of wheat in Ji'nan was 1.27 yuan / Jin, obviously, the current price fell by about 20% compared with the same period last year.
wheat prices fell by a large margin in history. Ji'nan people's flour mill related people said, however, most of their warehouses were bought before the price cut, so the output of flour has not been cut. Ji'nan Food Bureau of the 16 month of the monitoring data showed that 5 kilograms of "Min Tian brand" first grade flour price is 2.55 yuan / Jin, this year, this is the price of this year.
but last October, the price of 10 kilograms of Min Tian brand first grade flour was 2.26 yuan per Jin. Obviously, now the price not only did not drop, but it was on the rise. Mr. Xun opened a Minhe flour mill in the calendar. He talked about the price of wheat this year. He did not think that the purchase price was 1.26 yuan / Jin last year. This year only 1.1 yuan / Jin, but the flour factory price has not dropped, or last year's 1.6 yuan / Jin.
[catering enterprises] a steamed bread flour cost accounted for 60%
heard that wheat prices, but did not hear that flour prices. Ms. Lee, the responsible person in charge of the golden derley group, said that they had more pasta and used the wheat flour. It was the wheat of the grain depot, and the grain depot took turns every few years, so the price of wheat was reduced to the terminal, and it needed time.
, as a matter of reason, flour is an important expense for Dudley. However, as a result of a long time price stability, it has become less and more influential to the adjustment of the price of dadley. For example, in July and August of this year, although the price of wheat had dropped year-on-year, Jin Dali still raised the price of baozi, fried bags and so on. The main reason is that the rent and labor cost are too fast. Ms. Li said that some rent can even rise by 100 thousand yuan a year, and many shops earn almost all the landlords.
If wheat price cuts eventually bring flour price reduction, the biggest influence is undoubtedly the steamed bread often eaten by Ji'nan people. In this regard, Li Ruiying, the producer of the whole steamed bread, has the most say, and Ji'nan's steamed bread houses are hundreds of thousands. Under normal circumstances, the raw material cost accounts for 60% of the price of a steamed bread from flour to steamed bread. Li Ruiying said, in addition to the cost of rent, labor, water and electricity, transportation and so on.
from wheat to flour to steamed bread is one of the shortest industrial chains in today's society. Li Ruiying said, but to let the price of wheat fall to the terminal, the possibility is not very likely, because the country to maintain the stable price of wheat, the fall will not continue in addition, flour prices, steamed bread house will also deliberately keep the price of steamed bread stable, after all, steamed bread is a small profit.
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output, imports and inventories increased
industry analysts said that from the global environment, international food prices had returned to the low point of the 2008 financial crisis, and the prices of wheat, corn and soybeans were all after the crisis. The high point of the bomb fell by more than 50%.
economic slowdown in emerging countries has resulted in a reduction in demand for grain, while oil prices have also reduced production costs, leading to a fall in international grain prices. For China, which is already highly internationalized, the international grain price is falling, so it is difficult to stay out of it. From domestic factors, high inventory backlog is regarded as another main reason leading to the fall in grain prices.
, on the one hand, China's grain output has reached eleven consecutive increases, and the annual output stability is maintained at more than 1 trillion and 200 billion catties on the other hand, the number of grain imports in China is rising continuously, and the national grain import was first over 1 million tons in the last year. Two aspects led to a continuous increase in grain inventories and a serious backlog of grain varieties such as corn.
in the industry, China's grain presents the strange phenomenon of birth output, import volume, and three volume of stock. This strange phenomenon is accumulated and will inevitably bring down the price.
subsidies distort the grain market price
at the same time, from 2012 onwards, China's domestic grain prices began to be higher than the international market. Obviously, in the context of the fall in international grain prices, the previous price differential led to a faster and more sharp drop in domestic grain prices.
what is the cause of this price difference, in addition to the high production cost and low production efficiency in China, the analysts said that the unreasonable subsidies and the policy of the city also led to a decline in grain prices. It is understood that China has completely liberalized the grain purchase market and purchase price since 2004, and the grain price has been formed by the market.
after the price of grain was liberalized, in order to protect the interests of farmers and the enthusiasm for grain, the state adopted the minimum purchase price policy (the price of the market) to two key grain varieties of rice and wheat in the main producing areas from 2004 and 2006. Since 2008, the state has raised the minimum grain purchase price for 7 consecutive years.
from the actual implementation, although the policy of the purchase of the city has protected the interests of the farmers, it needs to pay the subsidy. The direct consequence of this variable price subsidy policy is to improve the price of the grain market and distort the price of the market. Under such a price distortion, the first is the high cost of subsidies, and a large number of state financial subsidies have entered the acquisition and reserve links, and farmers have not benefited directly. Secondly, it raises the processing cost of the grain industry in the middle and lower reaches of the middle and lower reaches, and can not optimize the allocation of resources through the market. The whole industry of the middle and lower reaches is dragged, which directly obstruct the smooth flow of the whole industrial chain of agriculture and affect the healthy operation of the agricultural industry.