Pork prices rose more than 30% in 3 years, the new high is comparable to 2011.
pork prices are soaring again, and more ferocious than in 2011.
this year, domestic pork prices have rebounded sharply over the past three years. Pork rose more than 30% in half a year, and has hit a new high in three years.
affected by this effect, on Monday, the whole line of the A stock raising industry plate was red, new five feng (15.57, 1.42, 10.04%), the stock of pasta (66.52, 6.05, 10%), the development of Saint Nong (21.12, 1.92, 10%), 9 shares closed up and down.
how crazy is the price of pork? Many places appear "one day, one price, everyone shouting expensive" phenomenon. According to CNR:
, the reporter came to the wholesale market of agricultural and sideline products in Haiyang, Qinhuangdao, and consumers generally reflected that the price of pork rose. According to the reporter's understanding, the average pork price is now 13 yuan a Jin. And two months ago, the price had been around 10.
according to the market survey of the Consumer Price Bureau of the Qinhuangdao investigation team of the National Bureau of statistics in July 5th, the price of pork in Qinhuangdao city has increased rapidly in recent years. The price of pork mound and pork meat per kilogram was 28.69 yuan and 28.39 yuan respectively. Compared with the average price in June, the price of pork rose by 16% and 13% respectively. Compared with the same period last year, the price rose by 35% and 28%, respectively. Traders who engaged in wholesale pork all year long reflected that the price range and speed of pork prices were very large.
... The price of pork in Hubei province has also risen. In the interview, a woman surnamed Zhang said the price of meat was still hovering between 10 and 11 pieces in May, now 13 5, and one day: "the first day to buy is eleven five, second days to buy twelve, third days bought thirteen five, three day three price."
in fact, since the beginning of this year, the price of pork has been rising rapidly for many years. Galaxy Securities pointed out that, since the turning point of the national pig market in March 18th, China has entered a new round of cyclical rising period of the pig cycle, the pig price has been rising for nearly 4 months, the average price of slaughter in the national lean pig has risen from 11.6 yuan / kg to the current 17.3 yuan / kg, and has risen by 5.. 7 yuan per kilogram, the increase is 49.1%, nearly 50%.
as a contrast, the cyclical inflection point in June 2010 was 9.2 yuan / kg to 19.6 yuan / kg of the cyclical inflection point in June 2011, and it continued to rise by about 110% in a year. The current pig market has increased by nearly 50% in less than 4 months, faster and stronger. Behind the soaring price of
pork is the continuous contraction of pig market supply in the past few years. According to Qilu Securities, the current round of live pig supply fell by 3% compared with 2011. From 2013 to the present, the production capacity has been very thorough, the latest sow's deposit is still reduced by 13.3% compared with the 2010 low. The efficiency of eliminating the annual average of about 2% is 3%, and the contraction of the supply level is more than the last round.
pig farmers' personal statement also confirms this trend. According to the central broadcasting network:
Qilu Securities judgment, judging the domestic livestock and poultry industry in 2015, the small supply shortage needs, the degree of the typical shortage in 2011 is still obvious difference, and the severity of the shortage in 2016 will be directly in 2011.
pig prices have always been affecting the sensitive nerves of inflation. In China's national consumption price general level (CPI) statistics system, the weight of food is 33.2%. In the food category, the weight of pork is about 10%. The change of pork price is concerned with
Qilu Securities. The contribution of the two year to year to CPI will be 0.51 and 0.67 percentage points respectively.