sell also loss, not sell also loss. The 40 pigs who should have slaughtered are still embarrassed to spend money in the circle. Newspaper reporter Dai Wei
the sale has not been sold, a nest of piglets fell to the ground, really sad people. This is the peak season of pork sales before and after the Spring Festival, and the meat consumption of the festival brings up the price of meat. But this year, the price of pig in the first 7 weeks began to fall, and the price is not high, but the decline is larger, the first peak of ten years is not like. According to the analysis of industry experts and experts, the fall prices caused by oversupply before the Spring Festival are mainly related to the rise in the price of pigs in July, the relative overcapacity of production capacity and the changes in the diet structure of the citizens in the Spring Festival.
the price of the pig began to fall 7 weeks ago. Ten years did not meet the 2014 Spring Festival. Citizens Wang Chao found that a family meal, the rest of the pork, the fastest CD-ROM is always vegetables. "They used to pick meat to eat, and now they pick vegetables to eat. The meat is less, the price should be reduced. " Wang Chao does not often buy food, she does not know, from 15.3 yuan / kilogram this is not a high price, this year, 7 weeks before the new year's Eve, the price of the hog began to drop, the highest price of 2.2 yuan less than the 2013 Spring Festival.
check up the weekly report on the price of the Shandong animal network from 2009 to 2013 on the eve of the new year's Eve. The reporter found that the price of the pig in front of the new year's Eve fell almost year by year, but most of them fell only one week before the eve of new year's Eve. The most special 2010, the 5 week before the new year's Eve, fell, but the fall before the eve of the new year's Eve in 2014 began in the first 7 weeks.
in the past 3 years, the price of live pigs dropped from 14.2 yuan / kg to 14 yuan / kg a week before the eve of new year's Eve in 2011, but the price rebounded rapidly after a week. A week before the new year's Eve, a week before the new year's Eve, the price of pig began to fall, but it did not rise again in 2011, but fell to May, but it fell to a rare high price of 17.4 yuan per kilogram in recent years.
began to appear in 2013 before the fall of the price before the holiday. The 3 week before the eve of the new year, the hog price fell from the 17.6 yuan / kg before the festival to 11.6 yuan / kg in the first half of April.
in 2014, the hogs fell to 7 weeks ahead of time, and the highest price was only 15.3 yuan / kg, and fell to 11.94 yuan / kg in eighth weeks (February 17th - February 23rd) in 2014, less than 6 yuan per Jin, and continued to fall. The rate of decline suddenly increased from second weeks in 2014 to 4.03% in the month, but the weekly decline was no more than 0.5%.
the monthly report of the pig price monthly from 2008 to 2014 from Shandong's livestock network is more likely to be found in 2014. From 2008 to 2013, the price of pigs will rise from 11 to December (in 2011), but in 2013, there is an abnormal reduction in prices, from 15 yuan / kg to about 12 yuan. Kilo.
"it is not normal to see pork prices going down sharply this year, especially before the Spring Festival." Mr. Ji Guangxin, an information analyst at Zhuo Chuang, explained the special price of pork from the end of 2013 to "the peak season in ten years".
pig farmers are expecting too much of the Spring Festival market, which results in "rising prices in July 2013, and pig farmers generally predict that they will not fall in November." Ji Guangxin said. Shandong animal husbandry association of the pig production and marketing branch expert group leader Zhou Yuxiao also said that in 2013, experts predicted the 1, 2, 3 quarter pig prices should be under the profit and loss line, it is expected that the price of pigs in November is likely to recover.
"but the market rule has changed very abnormally, and the price of pork has gone up in July." Zhou Yuxiao said. This let the high tech Zone Zhang Jin Street Gang street village individual pig farmer Chen Haochun remembered the 2013 Mid Autumn Festival pig price, "it was really good at that time, up to 8 yuan 1 jin, made a pen." Zhou Yuxiao believes that in the spring and summer of 2013, the low price will have to let some small and medium-sized pig farms have to withdraw, but in July, the increase in pig prices kept the small pig farms, many pigs after 5 months of growth cycle, concentrated in the Spring Festival. The supply of pork has also increased, which is an important reason for the decline in pork prices a year ago.
Second, the swine disease is relatively stable relative to 2013, the healthy state of the pigs is better, the decrease of the pig mortality is also the objective reason for the large supply of pork and the decline of the pig price.
"the decline in prices before the Spring Festival has made the pig industry unprepared and hit a lot." Ji Guangxin said the year before the Spring Festival was 4.2% less than in December 2013 and 2.2% in January 2013, down to about 439 million in January 2013. The decline in the number of columns means the increase in the number of hurdles, affected by the decline in the price of pork in January 2014, the concentration of pig farmers in the empty hurdles, the increase in the number of pigs put on the market, resulting in the excess supply and the rapid decline of the price of the pig.
overcapacity pig industry is shuffling, bite Ji Guangxin to hold the introduction, the national pig column in 2012 is 697 million, in 2013, increased by 1.8% than in 2012, around 710 million. Wang Youju, general manager of Ji'nan tripod husbandry Co., Ltd. revealed that from 2011 to November 2013, the volume has been growing, "the total amount has increased by 10% per year." Pig production is increasing and production capacity is surplus. " As for the rise and fall of pig prices, Wang Youju believes that pig farmers with more than 50 sows can be more flexible and can increase their production by controlling mating. Pig farms above designated size are restricted by the capacity of pig farms, and they must be thrown out when raising 220 pounds. Wang Youju said that 2013 years ago, the price of raw pigs had seen 9 yuan and 1 jin, and 2014 years ago the highest price was only 7 yuan. "Our guaranteed cost is 6.8 yuan 1 jin, now 5.5 yuan 1 Jin's hog price is pure loss." But Chen Haochun, who had 300 slaughter in the year of self reproduction, had different faces, and Wang Youju, who had slaughtered 15000 yuan a year, seemed to be losing money. "More than half of Ji'nan's population is about 50 pigs, and now the low price is the time for large-scale pig farms and small pig farmers to shuffle cards. A large pig farm has a long-term benefit. " Prices were not good before and after the Spring Festival in 2014. But Wang Youju found that from 2013 to November, the sales of boars dropped by half as compared with the same period last year. "Before it was year-on-year growth, the enthusiasm of subsidy has decreased." But this year, the number of slaughtering farms in Ding Tai animal husbandry is expected to be 5000 more than in 2013. The number of slaughter in 2013 has been 3000 more than in 2012.
according to April 2013, Ji'nan Ding Tai pasture Co., Ltd., as the new member of the "vegetable basket" in Ji'nan, will be put into production in 2015. The 100 thousand production base of the pig will be put into production in 2015. After the operation, there will be 50 thousand adult pigs and 100 thousand pigs. And the reporter learned from the Ji'nan animal husbandry bureau that in 2013 and 2012 compared with 2012, the number of pig farmers below 100 heads decreased significantly, and the number of pig farmers below 50 heads was the largest, reduced by 33.2%, from 29277 to 19557 households. The largest increase was the increase of 13.13% in pig farms with 100-499 slaughter per year. More than 3000 pig farms increased the number of pig farms in 45 over the year, of which more than 5000 pig farms increased by 4.7%. Mr. Zhuang Dazhong, the head of Shandong's Waldo company who only had 3000 pigs, said: "pig prices fall, we need to buy sows in large quantities because the enterprises are in the process of being sold."