Ji'nan property market reproduces "against the market against the fall" myth? The house price is strong
has made many buyers panic. Last year, Ji'nan was once rated as the ten largest city in the country to resist falling prices. Is this year a repeat of the myth of "going against the market"?
there are different opinions among the parties. Some believe that the property market "red May" is available, and the volume of trading will be the trend; some indicate that the rebound in volume is related to the increase in the supply of new houses in May and the arrival of the traditional sales season. In the regulation of the new deal, the shrinking of the market will still be the mainstream in the future.
data: the daily average turnover is better than last year's
according to the data provided by the Ji'nan Construction Commission. In May 4th, the Ji'nan commercial housing city sold 76 sets, the ring rose 18 sets compared to the 3 day, and the volume of May 5th and 6 days exceeded 100 sets; after the weekend a slight ten or twenty sets fell, the 9 days also rose to 82 sets.
and query historical data, it is known that in 2009, after the "May Day" holiday week, the daily average volume of commercial housing is only around 50 sets, just look at the numbers, it seems that the present house is selling better than the same period last year.
still one of the data seems rather contradictory: the house property research institute recently announced the results of the survey, in April Ji'nan residential volume was 2989 sets, more than 4 down in March, but the sale price per square meter was up 245 yuan per square meter last month. That is to say, the property market has fallen, but the price is still rising.
the question behind the data is a surprise to the money - holding buyers: is it not that the market has entered the adjustment period after the new deal is introduced and the transaction is not active? Is not the developer in the field beginning to reduce the price? How did the trading volume of the Ji'nan property market go up again? How is the price still rising?
site: 12 girls in half a month did not sell 1 Suites
does the new deal in the previous period have been introduced, the light of the Ji'nan property market trading is a false image, the property market will be fire again? Yesterday, the reporter visited the city's multiple sales sites with a full belly question mark.
in ten road, a real estate consultant, Yan Miss Yan said that after the new property new deal was introduced in April, the customers of the telephone consultation house have been significantly reduced, and the people in the house have a wait-and-see attitude.
there are 12 salesgirls. Before the new deal, there are dozens of people coming to the house every day. Each salesman can receive at least two or three customers. After the new deal, there are a total of ten customers every day, and the whole estate has not sold a house for half a month.
located in the middle part of culture east road is also similar. In the beautifully decorated sales office, only two showers are communicating with sales staff. The remaining dozen home buyers are chatting in twos and threes. However, although the volume of passenger traffic has been substantially reduced, the advisers have said they are not worried about sales, and when asked whether there is a possible discount on the sale recently, they all answered: "impossible".
Miss Yan said, now even if the Beijing, Shanghai and other front-line cities have a good position in the house, the price is not much floating, only through discounts, gifts and other ways to do sales promotion.
divergence: warming or shrinking, uncertain
conflicting data puzzled buyers, and also confusing the industry. Real estate developers and scholars have divergent views on each other. It seems that they can not guess the future expression of Ji'nan property market.
Zhao Luliang, a real estate commentator, said that after entering the "red May" in the property market, the opening volume of Ji'nan's buildings increased and the sales rebound was "very normal". Ji'nan, Beijing, Shanghai and other mature and mature large cities, the real estate market is still in the rise period, and the demand for residents to buy a house is still very strong, which is also the reason that the price of Ji'nan has been "down".
plus 5, 6 and July is the traditional peak season for sales. The increase in market supply will inevitably lead to an increase in the sales volume of the property market. This is not a brief phenomenon, but it will be a trend. Cai Shigang, sales director of
triumphant new town, also agrees with the view that "the supply of the market has increased in May and the sales volume has risen".
but Cai Shigang feels that the majority of home buyers are still watching, and they are still waiting for subsequent national and local rules.
academics believe that the rebound in volume is only a temporary phenomenon. Professor Li Tiegang, vice president of the Shandong University and the director of the real estate research center, said that under the influence of the new deal, the Ji'nan property market in the future will continue to shrink.
consensus: house prices will not fall but there is a stagflation of
no matter how the industry is predicting future sales, "house prices will not fall, it will still rise slowly" has become a consensus.
in the search forum, many buyers with rigid demand said that after three weeks of watching, house prices are still strong and have gradually lost their patience and are ready to buy a house.
twenty-first Century real estate broker, Qi Fan said that housing prices are rising slowly, but they are still rising. Although the number of customers is less than before, but the "gold content" has increased, all the customers who come to consult are basically determined that the price of the house will not fall, and the success rate of the transaction is also improved a lot.
Zhao Luliang also believes that the trend of rising housing prices in Ji'nan will not change, but the scope will slow down. The moderate and moderate increase in housing prices is an inevitable requirement of the market economy and a manifestation of the improvement of the level of economic development.
professor Li Tiegang also said that Ji'nan housing prices will not "rise and fall". He said that the impact of the new property new deal, for the first tier cities, is mainly reflected in the decline in house prices and turnover; for Ji'nan, the main performance is the persistence of the buyers' attitude to the buyers, and the house prices will not fluctuate and change greatly.