The number of new residential signs has dropped to nearly 40%, and the Ji'nan property market has entered the "slow lane".
daily economic news reporter Peng Fei from Shandong
if the new house is compared to a car on the road, then, from 20 Since July 12, the car in Ji'nan has been on the fast track for 21 months.
in April 18th, the State Statistics Bureau announced the change of housing sales prices in 70 large and medium cities in March, showing that the rise of new housing prices in Ji'nan fell in March in the first quarter of this year in March.
in many Shandong realities interviewed by the daily economic news reporters, the new housing price rose in March over the same year, and was announcing the fact that it turned to the slow lane.
the latest data from the housing management department in Ji'nan showed that in the first quarter of 2014, the average price of new housing in Ji'nan was 8540.3 yuan / sq m, up 11.8% from the same period, and an increase of 9.72%. The number of net signs is 21817 sets, down 12.97% compared to the same period, down 38.58%.
to this, people in the real estate industry believe that this is related to the credit environment and the wait-and-see mood after the Spring Festival. In the first quarter, the overall transaction of Ji'nan property market fell sharply.
in the view of a real estate investor, the game of the supply and demand of the real estate market in Ji'nan has entered a critical period. The future developers are more likely to concession in terms of the impulse of the year.
housing volume began to shrink /
data from the National Bureau of statistics showed that the price of new housing in Ji'nan rose by 0.4% in March, down by 0.1 percentage points compared with the last month. However, the reporter noted that since 2014, the price increase of new residential buildings in Ji'nan has fallen in March for the first quarter of this year.
previous statistics show that since the rise in Ji'nan's new housing prices since July 2012, up to the end of March this year, the price has been rising for 21 months, with a cumulative rise of 11.4%.
it is worth noting that in the 70 large and medium-sized cities' housing sales price data published by the National Bureau of statistics in February, the trend of new housing prices in Ji'nan is located in the 56 rising cities. However, the year-on-year increase has shrunk by 0.4 percentage points, which seems to indicate that the city's real estate market is moving into the slow lane.
in spite of the continued rise in price, the housing volume in Ji'nan has been shrinking since the 2014, with the impact of multiple factors such as tight credit policy and so on.
reporter learned from the housing management department of Ji'nan City, in the first quarter of 2014, the city's new commercial housing net signed 21817 sets, a year-on-year decline of 12.97%, a decrease of 38.58%.
to this, many local people engaged in housing transactions told the daily economic news reporter that it was related to the credit environment and the wait-and-see mood after the Spring Festival.
according to the reporter, the first mortgage interest rate of Ji'nan state owned commercial banks has been rising recently, and some banks have even suspended their mortgage loans. Many joint-stock banks have begun to reduce the number of cooperative projects and use funds to other businesses.
a market person said, although the minimum down payment ratio of the first suite is still 30%, but.Amp; lsquo on the basis of the benchmark interest rate based on the first suite loan interest rate.Amp; rsquo for most of the lack of financial resources is just a blow, which has a direct impact on the new housing market in Ji'nan.
the Ji'nan housing security and Property Management Bureau said the first quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year were mainly in March.
supply and demand game entered a critical period /
into April, Ji'nan property market can not conceal the downturn. According to the statistics of the search room network, second weeks (April 7~13 April) in April, 1765 sets of newly built commercial houses in Ji'nan were sold, and 166 sets were reduced compared to the 1931 sets of last year (April 2013 8~14 day).
in the opinion of an unnamed real estate agent, the overall slump in Ji'nan's real estate market fell sharply in the first quarter, which has undoubtedly aggravated their wait-and-see mood for buyers who have never bought a fall.
however, the market is still in the doldrums, but the price of housing transactions is still rising. According to statistics, the average price of commercial housing in Ji'nan was 8736 yuan / square meter as of April 13th, up 600 yuan / square meter over the same period last month.
it is worth noting that, with the Ji'nan property market warmer at the end of 3, the opening demand of the Ji'nan property market is also gradually revived, and a large number of housing sources suitable for the new people have entered the market.
statistics show that Ji'nan in April is expected to open up 12, discounted prices of as many as 60, such a big discount will undoubtedly attract more buyers' eyes.
a Shandong real estate investor told the daily economic news reporter that the Ji'nan real estate market has been held by the China Sea and green space for many years, but with the entry of Vanke and Hengda, the supply of Ji'nan's real estate market has increased significantly.
the above real estate intermediary analyzed to reporters that so many discount properties were entering the market, or had a certain impact on the second hand housing market in Ji'nan in late April.
gram and Rui analysts say, from recent weeks of commercial housing transactions and price trends, the volume of commercial housing in Ji'nan has not entered the expected high channel, but the trade average has no downward trend.
the above analysts believe that the game of supply and demand has entered a critical period. Future developers are likely to make some price concessions for the time of the year, but the possibility of a sharp fall in price based on the supply and demand of the Ji'nan market is very small.
to this, the above real estate investors told the daily economic news reporter that the possibility of falling house prices in Ji'nan is unlikely. "In 2014, Ji'nan's housing prices will remain unchanged, but the growth will slow down."